Pulse changelogBeta

Every governance event classified by the Civica Pulse Beta pipeline. Updated daily.

The Civica Pulse Beta is a real-time governance shock monitor under active validation. Events queued for human review (severe and catastrophic severity tiers, plus events where the classifier didn't reach consensus) do not drive published Pulse scores until a reviewer confirms them. See the Pulse methodology for the full pipeline.
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Events

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Published events only. Toggle status above to include the review queue.

MoroccoMay 1, 2026Brésil : réduction de peine en vue pour Bolsonaro , nouvelle défaite pour LulaRule of LawModerate − · -32/3 agree
Source description (1 paragraph)

(medias24.com)

gdeltnewsRead ↗
Classifier runs (3 passes)
Run 1 · temp 0
Politically motivated prosecution of opposition figure
Rule of LawModerate − · -3
A potential sentence reduction for Bolsonaro in an ongoing legal proceeding touches on the politically motivated prosecution dimension, though the framing as a 'defeat for Lula' suggests judicial independence from executive pressure, making classification uncertain; the closest fit is opposition_prosecution given the political salience of the case.
Run 2 · temp 0.4
Politically motivated prosecution of opposition figure
Rule of LawModerate − · -3
A potential sentence reduction for Bolsonaro in an ongoing legal proceeding touches on the politically motivated prosecution dimension, though the framing as a 'defeat for Lula' suggests judicial independence from executive influence, making classification uncertain; the closest fit is opposition_prosecution given the political salience of the case.
Run 3 · temp 0.8
Prosecutorial independence change
Rule of LawModerate − · -3
A potential sentence reduction for Bolsonaro framed as a political defeat for Lula suggests judicial/prosecutorial decisions with political overtones, fitting a prosecutorial independence change in a negative direction, though details are sparse.
Confidence 0.35 · RSF 50Politically motivated prosecution of opposition figure