Pulse changelogBeta

Every governance event classified by the Civica Pulse Beta pipeline. Updated daily.

The Civica Pulse Beta is a real-time governance shock monitor under active validation. Events queued for human review (severe and catastrophic severity tiers, plus events where the classifier didn't reach consensus) do not drive published Pulse scores until a reviewer confirms them. See the Pulse methodology for the full pipeline.
CountryAll countriesUganda
Events

2 events on this page

Including events queued for human review. These do not drive published scores yet.

UgandaApr 30, 2026Uganda: Authorities must investigate election-related killings, arbitrary arrests and torture of opposition members, supportersStabilitySevere − · -62/3 agreeQueued for review
Source description (1 paragraph)

(Ugandan security forces targeted members and supporters of the opposition party National Unity Platform (NUP) with lethal force, arbitrary arrests, torture and other ill-treatment before, during and after the 15 January general elections, Amnesty International said today. The organization received multiple reports indicating that between 15 and 18 January, the Ugandan People’s Defence Forces (UPDF) […] The post Uganda: Authorities must investigate election-related killings, arbitrary arrests and torture of opposition members, supporters appeared first on Amnesty International.)

amnestyspecialistRead ↗
Classifier runs (3 passes)
Run 1 · temp 0
Electoral violence (sub-armed-conflict threshold)
StabilitySevere − · -6
Ugandan security forces used lethal force, arbitrary arrests, and torture against opposition members and supporters around the January 15 general elections, constituting severe electoral violence including killings that falls below the threshold of armed conflict but involves state-perpetrated violence in an electoral context.
Run 2 · temp 0.4
Electoral violence (sub-armed-conflict threshold)
StabilitySevere − · -6
Ugandan security forces used lethal force, arbitrary arrests, and torture against opposition members and supporters around the January 15 general elections, constituting severe electoral violence including killings that falls below armed conflict threshold but involves state-perpetrated violence tied directly to an electoral process.
Run 3 · temp 0.8
Systematic crackdown (pattern of abuse)
Rights & FreedomsSevere − · -6
Ugandan security forces engaged in a cross-cutting pattern of lethal force, arbitrary arrests, and torture targeting opposition members and supporters across the election period, constituting a systematic crackdown without a single named institutional target that would trigger a more specific category.
Confidence 0.40 · RSF 50Electoral violence (sub-armed-conflict threshold)
UgandaApr 24, 2026Uganda: Sovereignty Bill Threatens Speech, AssemblyRights & FreedomsModerate − · -43/3 agree
On April 15, 2026, Uganda's Internal Affairs State Minister David Muhoozi introduced the Protection of Sovereignty Bill before parliament, which would criminalize vaguely defined activities promoting "interests of a foreigner against the interests of Uganda." The bill threatens fundamental rights to free expression and peaceful assembly by potentially allowing the government to restrict civil society organizations and political activity under the guise of protecting national sovereignty. The legislation is part of a broader pattern of government actions targeting political opponents, critics, and civil society actors.
AI summary · Claude Haiku
Source description (2 paragraphs)

Ugandan lawmakers arrive at the parliament, in Kampala, Uganda September 21, 2017.

(Nairobi) – A bill before Uganda’s parliament that proposes sweeping controls over “foreign funding” and political activity threatens fundamental rights and could be used to shut down civil society, Human Rights Watch said today. The bill emulates laws adopted in recent years by other rights-abusing governments, which have been deemed to violate international law. On April 15, 2026, Internal Affairs State Minister David Muhoozi introduced the Protection of Sovereignty Bill of 2026 before parliament for its first reading. The bill proposes criminalizing vaguely defined activities that promote the “interests of a foreigner against the interests of Uganda.” The bill is part of a broader campaign by the Ugandan government to clamp down on free expression and peaceful assembly, that has included arresting and bringing criminal charges against political opponents and their supporters, as well as other critics of government officials. “The Protection of Sovereignty Bill is the latest example of the government’s efforts to stifle dissent and inhibit political or social organizing and participation,” said Oryem Nyeko, senior Africa researcher at Human Rights Watch. “The proposed bi

hrwspecialistRead ↗
Classifier runs (3 passes)
Run 1 · temp 0
NGO / civil society restriction (de jure)
Rights & FreedomsModerate − · -4
The Ugandan Sovereignty Bill proposes sweeping legal restrictions on foreign-funded civil society and political activity, constituting a de jure restriction on NGOs and civil society organizations, though it is still at the bill/first-reading stage rather than enacted law.
Run 2 · temp 0.4
NGO / civil society restriction (de jure)
Rights & FreedomsModerate − · -4
The Ugandan Protection of Sovereignty Bill proposes sweeping controls over foreign funding and political activity that HRW assesses would shut down civil society and restrict free expression and assembly, fitting the de jure NGO/civil society restriction category.
Run 3 · temp 0.8
NGO / civil society restriction (de jure)
Rights & FreedomsModerate − · -4
The Ugandan Protection of Sovereignty Bill proposes sweeping restrictions on foreign funding and political activity that would effectively shut down civil society organizations and restrict assembly rights, fitting the de jure NGO/civil society restriction category.
Confidence 0.56 · RSF 50NGO / civil society restriction (de jure)