Pulse changelogBeta
Every governance event classified by the Civica Pulse Beta pipeline. Updated daily.
The Civica Pulse Beta is a real-time governance shock monitor under active validation. Events queued for human review (severe and catastrophic severity tiers, plus events where the classifier didn't reach consensus) do not drive published Pulse scores until a reviewer confirms them. See the Pulse methodology for the full pipeline.
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Events
14 events on this page
Including events queued for human review. These do not drive published scores yet.
RomaniaMay 2, 2026Viktor Orban refuză aplicarea deciziei CJUE privind legea LGBTQ din UngariaRule of LawSevere − · -53/3 agreeQueued for review
Source description (1 paragraph)
(mediafax.ro)
gdeltnewsRead ↗
Classifier runs (3 passes)
Run 1 · temp 0
Executive defiance of court rulings
Rule of LawSevere − · -5
Orbán's refusal to implement the CJEU ruling on Hungary's anti-LGBTQ law constitutes executive defiance of a court ruling, fitting executive_court_defiance; the LGBT-specific subject matter is secondary to the institutional act of defying a binding judicial decision.
Run 2 · temp 0.4
Executive defiance of court rulings
Rule of LawSevere − · -5
Orbán's refusal to implement the CJEU ruling on Hungary's anti-LGBTQ law constitutes executive defiance of a binding court ruling, fitting the executive_court_defiance category at severe_neg given it involves defiance of a supranational court with constitutional implications.
Run 3 · temp 0.8
Executive defiance of court rulings
Rule of LawSevere − · -5
Orbán's explicit refusal to implement a binding CJEU ruling on Hungary's anti-LGBTQ law constitutes executive defiance of a court ruling, undermining rule of law at both national and EU level.
United StatesApr 30, 2026Myanmar junta says Suu Kyi moved to house arrest , doubts lingerRule of LawSevere − · -52/3 agreeQueued for review
Myanmar's military junta announced that former leader Aung San Suu Kyi has been transferred from prison to house arrest, though international observers have expressed skepticism about the claim's veracity. The move comes amid ongoing political crisis in Myanmar following the junta's 2021 coup, with Suu Kyi scheduled to meet with her legal team. The transfer's confirmation and conditions remain unclear, raising questions about the junta's transparency regarding her detention status.
AI summary · Claude Haiku
Source description (1 paragraph)
(wlrn.org) - Myanmar junta says Suu Kyi moved to house arrest , doubts linger (wmra.org) - Myanmar junta says Suu Kyi moved to house arrest , doubts linger (kalw.org) - Myanmar junta says Suu Kyi moved to house arrest , doubts linger (klcc.org) - Myanmar junta says Suu Kyi moved to house arrest , doubts linger (kcbx.org) - Myanmar junta says Suu Kyi moved to house arrest , doubts linger (interlochenpublicradio.org) - Myanmar junta says Suu Kyi moved to house arrest , doubts linger (wfae.org) - Detained Myanmar ex - leader Suu Kyi to meet legal team this weekend (yahoo.com) - Myanmar junta says Suu Kyi moved to house arrest , doubts linger (kazu.org) - Myanmar junta says Suu Kyi moved to house arrest , doubts linger (wemu.org) - Myanmar junta says Suu Kyi moved to house arrest , doubts linger (kacu.org) - Myanmar junta says Suu Kyi moved to house arrest , doubts linger (northcountrypublicradio.org) - Myanmar junta says Suu Kyi moved to house arrest , doubts linger (mynspr.org) - Aung San Suu Kyi Moved to House Arrest Amid Myanmar Political Crisis (econotimes.com) - Aung San Suu Kyi : The Myanmar democracy icon detained for years (yahoo.com) - Myanmar junta says Suu Kyi moved to house arrest , doubts linger (wfdd.org) - World News : Myanmar ex - leader moved to house arrest (gdnonline.com) - Myanmar junta says Suu Kyi moved to house arrest , doubts linger (wypr.org) - Myanmar junta says Suu Kyi moved to house ar
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Classifier runs (3 passes)
Run 1 · temp 0
Politically motivated prosecution of opposition figure
Rule of LawSevere − · -5
Aung San Suu Kyi, the leading opposition figure and former head of government, remains under detention by the military junta (now reportedly moved to house arrest), constituting a politically motivated deprivation of liberty of a named opposition leader with ongoing legal proceedings.
Run 2 · temp 0.4
Politically motivated prosecution of opposition figure
Rule of LawModerate − · -3
Aung San Suu Kyi, Myanmar's former elected leader and prominent opposition figure, remains in politically motivated detention by the military junta, with her transfer to house arrest (amid credibility doubts) representing a continued politically driven deprivation of liberty rather than a genuine change in conditions.
Run 3 · temp 0.8
Politically motivated prosecution of opposition figure
Rule of LawSevere − · -5
Aung San Suu Kyi, the primary opposition figure and former elected leader of Myanmar, remains in detention under the military junta, now reportedly transferred to house arrest — a continuation of her politically motivated imprisonment following the 2021 coup.
SpainApr 30, 2026El Congreso de Brasil aprueba reducir la condena por golpismo al expresidente Jair BolsonaroRule of LawSevere − · -53/3 agreeQueued for review
Source description (1 paragraph)
(elprogreso.es)
gdeltnewsRead ↗
Classifier runs (3 passes)
Run 1 · temp 0
Constitutional override by executive
Rule of LawSevere − · -5
The Brazilian Congress approving a reduction of Bolsonaro's coup-related sentence represents a legislative intervention undermining rule-of-law accountability for an attempted constitutional override, though the limited context makes precise categorization uncertain — it could also fit corruption_conviction reversal or opposition_prosecution framing depending on the full legal context.
Run 2 · temp 0.4
Constitutional override by executive
Rule of LawSevere − · -5
The Brazilian Congress approving a reduction of Bolsonaro's coup-related sentence represents a legislative intervention undermining rule-of-law accountability for an unconstitutional seizure attempt, effectively shielding a convicted insurrectionist from justice.
Run 3 · temp 0.8
Constitutional override by executive
Rule of LawSevere − · -5
The Brazilian Congress approving a reduction of Bolsonaro's coup-related sentence represents a legislative intervention undermining rule-of-law accountability for anti-constitutional conduct, effectively shielding a convicted perpetrator of an attempted constitutional override.
IndiaApr 30, 2026Nepal News : सत्र स्थगित , अध्यादेशों की बाढ़ : नेपाली संसद को कमजोर कर रहे PM बालेन शाह , विपक्ष ने खोला मोर्चाRule of LawSevere − · -53/3 agreeQueued for review
Source description (1 paragraph)
(navbharattimes.indiatimes.com)
gdeltnewsRead ↗
Classifier runs (3 passes)
Run 1 · temp 0
Constitutional override by executive
Rule of LawSevere − · -5
The headline describes Nepal's PM proroguing parliament and governing through a flood of ordinances, effectively bypassing the legislature — a pattern of executive constitutional override weakening parliamentary rule of law.
Run 2 · temp 0.4
Constitutional override by executive
Rule of LawSevere − · -5
The Nepali PM is reportedly suspending parliamentary sessions and governing through a flood of ordinances, effectively bypassing the legislature — a pattern consistent with executive constitutional override of the parliamentary process, with opposition mobilizing against it.
Run 3 · temp 0.8
Constitutional override by executive
Rule of LawSevere − · -5
The headline describes Nepal's PM proroguing parliament and governing through a flood of ordinances, effectively bypassing the legislature — a pattern consistent with executive constitutional override of parliamentary authority, with the opposition mobilizing in response.
CambodiaApr 30, 2026Cambodia: Opposition Leader’s Appeal DeniedRule of LawSevere − · -63/3 agreeQueued for review
Source description (2 paragraphs)
Cambodia’s opposition leader Kem Sokha talks to the media at his home before leaving for a court hearing in Phnom Penh, January 16, 2020. © 2020 AP Photo/Heng Sinith
(Bangkok) – On April 30, 2026, the Phnom Penh Court of Appeal upheld the politically motivated conviction of the Cambodian political opposition leader Kem Sokha, Human Rights Watch said today. The court extended Sokha’s de-facto house arrest and 27-year sentence that had been imposed in March 2023 and added an additional five-year ban on international travel. Cambodian authorities should immediately quash the conviction and release Sokha from custody. Sokha, 72, is the former president of the dissolved main opposition party, the Cambodia National Rescue Party (CNRP). Since the Cambodian authorities arrested Sokha in 2017, he has been arbitrarily detained, mistreated in custody, and banned from voting or running for election. “The Cambodian government should drop this bogus prosecution of Kem Sokha, immediately release him, and unconditionally restore his political rights,” said Bryony Lau, deputy Asia director at Human Rights Watch. “The commune elections in 2027 and national election in 2028 won’t have any legitimacy so long as the government is using the courts to unjustly punish political opponents.” Phnom Penh
hrwspecialistRead ↗
Classifier runs (3 passes)
Run 1 · temp 0
Politically motivated prosecution of opposition figure
Rule of LawSevere − · -6
The Cambodian Court of Appeal upheld a politically motivated conviction of opposition leader Kem Sokha, extending his house arrest, 27-year sentence, and adding a travel ban, representing a sustained judicially-backed suppression of the main opposition figure.
Run 2 · temp 0.4
Politically motivated prosecution of opposition figure
Rule of LawSevere − · -6
The Cambodian Court of Appeal upheld a politically motivated conviction of opposition leader Kem Sokha, extending his house arrest, 27-year sentence, and adding a travel ban, representing a sustained and escalating judicially-facilitated suppression of the main opposition figure.
Run 3 · temp 0.8
Politically motivated prosecution of opposition figure
Rule of LawSevere − · -6
The Cambodian appellate court upheld a politically motivated conviction of opposition leader Kem Sokha, extending his sentence and travel ban, representing a sustained and judicially enforced suppression of a leading opposition figure.
GermanyApr 30, 2026USA und Iran : Pete Hegseth hält 60 - Tage - Frist beim Irankrieg für ungültigRule of LawSevere − · -53/3 agreeQueued for review
Source description (1 paragraph)
(zeit.de)
gdeltnewsRead ↗
Classifier runs (3 passes)
Run 1 · temp 0
Constitutional override by executive
Rule of LawSevere − · -5
Defense Secretary Hegseth declaring the 60-day War Powers Resolution deadline invalid represents an executive branch assertion that it is not bound by a statutory/constitutional constraint on war-making authority, constituting an executive override of constitutional-legal limits.
Run 2 · temp 0.4
Constitutional override by executive
Rule of LawSevere − · -5
Defense Secretary Hegseth declaring the 60-day War Powers Act deadline invalid represents an executive branch defying constitutional/statutory limits on war-making authority, fitting executive override of legal constraints, though the headline alone provides limited context.
Run 3 · temp 0.8
Constitutional override by executive
Rule of LawSevere − · -5
US Defense Secretary Hegseth declaring the 60-day War Powers Act deadline invalid in the context of conflict with Iran represents an executive branch assertion of authority to override a statutory/constitutional constraint on war powers, fitting the executive constitutional override category.
AustriaApr 30, 2026Myanmar : Friedensnobelpreisträgerin Suu Kyi im HausarrestRule of LawSevere − · -52/3 agreeQueued for review
Source description (1 paragraph)
(vol.at)
gdeltnewsRead ↗
Classifier runs (3 passes)
Run 1 · temp 0
Politically motivated prosecution of opposition figure
Rule of LawSevere − · -5
Aung San Suu Kyi, Nobel Peace Prize laureate and opposition leader, being held under house arrest in Myanmar constitutes politically motivated detention of a prominent opposition figure by the military junta.
Run 2 · temp 0.4
Politically motivated prosecution of opposition figure
Rule of LawSevere − · -5
Aung San Suu Kyi, Nobel Peace Prize laureate and opposition leader, being held under house arrest in Myanmar constitutes a politically motivated detention of a prominent opposition figure by the military junta.
Run 3 · temp 0.8
Politically motivated prosecution of opposition figure
Rule of LawModerate − · -4
Aung San Suu Kyi, a prominent opposition figure and former head of state, being held under house arrest in Myanmar constitutes politically motivated detention/prosecution of a leading opposition figure by the military junta.
PakistanApr 30, 2026Myanmar coup - leader turned president orders Suu Kyi to house arrestRule of LawSevere − · -63/3 agreeQueued for review
Source description (1 paragraph)
(thefrontierpost.com)
gdeltnewsRead ↗
Classifier runs (3 passes)
Run 1 · temp 0
Politically motivated prosecution of opposition figure
Rule of LawSevere − · -6
The military-installed president ordering the detention/house arrest of Aung San Suu Kyi, the legitimate democratic leader, constitutes a politically motivated prosecution/detention of the primary opposition figure in the post-coup context.
Run 2 · temp 0.4
Politically motivated prosecution of opposition figure
Rule of LawSevere − · -6
The military-installed leader ordering the detention of Aung San Suu Kyi constitutes a politically motivated prosecution/detention of the leading opposition figure, a hallmark action of the 2021 coup's ongoing repression.
Run 3 · temp 0.8
Politically motivated prosecution of opposition figure
Rule of LawSevere − · -6
The detention of Aung San Suu Kyi under house arrest by the coup-installed military leadership constitutes a politically motivated prosecution/detention of the primary opposition figure, continuing the post-coup suppression of democratic leadership in Myanmar.
SwitzerlandApr 30, 2026Myanmar : Aung San Suu Kyi kommt in den HausarrestRule of LawSevere − · -53/3 agreeQueued for review
Source description (1 paragraph)
(bazonline.ch)
gdeltnewsRead ↗
Classifier runs (3 passes)
Run 1 · temp 0
Politically motivated prosecution of opposition figure
Rule of LawSevere − · -5
The transfer of Aung San Suu Kyi to house arrest represents a politically motivated restriction on a prominent opposition figure under Myanmar's military junta, consistent with ongoing opposition prosecution in the post-coup context.
Run 2 · temp 0.4
Politically motivated prosecution of opposition figure
Rule of LawSevere − · -6
The transfer of Aung San Suu Kyi to house arrest represents a politically motivated restriction on a prominent opposition figure under Myanmar's military junta, consistent with ongoing opposition prosecution in a post-coup context.
Run 3 · temp 0.8
Politically motivated prosecution of opposition figure
Rule of LawSevere − · -5
Aung San Suu Kyi, the leading opposition figure in Myanmar, being placed under house arrest constitutes a politically motivated detention of a prominent opposition leader by the ruling junta.
NigeriaApr 30, 2026Nigeria: Authorities must investigate deaths of at least 150 Fulani people in military campRule of LawSevere − · -73/3 agreeQueued for review
Source description (1 paragraph)
(The Nigerian authorities must conduct a prompt, thorough, independent, impartial, transparent and effective investigation into the reported deaths of least 150 members of the Fulani community, most of them children, who have been arbitrarily detained by the Nigerian military in the north-central state of Kwara, Amnesty International said today. An investigation by the human rights […] The post Nigeria: Authorities must investigate deaths of at least 150 Fulani people in military camp appeared first on Amnesty International.)
amnestyspecialistRead ↗
Classifier runs (3 passes)
Run 1 · temp 0
Detention conditions change
Rule of LawSevere − · -7
The event centers on the deaths of at least 150 arbitrarily detained Fulani people (mostly children) in a military detention facility, making detention conditions — including lethal conditions — the defining feature rather than the act of mass detention itself.
Run 2 · temp 0.4
Detention conditions change
Rule of LawSevere − · -7
The event centers on the deaths of at least 150 arbitrarily detained Fulani people, mostly children, in a Nigerian military camp, making detention conditions (including lethal outcomes) the defining feature rather than the act of mass detention or ethnic minority rights change alone.
Run 3 · temp 0.8
Detention conditions change
Rule of LawSevere − · -7
The event describes the deaths of at least 150 arbitrarily detained Fulani people, mostly children, in a Nigerian military detention facility, making detention conditions (including lethal outcomes) the defining feature rather than the act of mass detention itself.
QatarApr 30, 2026Myanmar coup - leader turned president orders Suu Kyi to house arrestRule of LawSevere − · -63/3 agreeQueued for review
Source description (1 paragraph)
(thepeninsulaqatar.com)
gdeltnewsRead ↗
Classifier runs (3 passes)
Run 1 · temp 0
Politically motivated prosecution of opposition figure
Rule of LawSevere − · -6
The military-installed leader ordering the detention of Aung San Suu Kyi under house arrest is a politically motivated deprivation of liberty targeting the leading opposition figure, fitting opposition_prosecution at severe level given the post-coup authoritarian context.
Run 2 · temp 0.4
Politically motivated prosecution of opposition figure
Rule of LawSevere − · -6
The military-installed leader ordering the detention of Aung San Suu Kyi constitutes a politically motivated deprivation of liberty targeting the leading opposition figure, occurring in the context of the ongoing post-coup authoritarian consolidation in Myanmar.
Run 3 · temp 0.8
Politically motivated prosecution of opposition figure
Rule of LawSevere − · -5
The military-installed leader ordering the detention of Aung San Suu Kyi, the democratically elected opposition leader, constitutes a politically motivated prosecution/detention of a prominent opposition figure in the context of Myanmar's ongoing post-coup repression.
Saudi ArabiaApr 29, 2026Saudi Arabia: Halt Imminent Executions of Ethiopian MigrantsRule of LawSevere − · -63/3 agree
At least 65 Ethiopian migrants face imminent execution in Saudi Arabia on drug-related charges, with three others executed on April 21, 2026, according to Human Rights Watch. The organization documented cases of three men held in Khamis Mushait detention facility who claimed to be refugees fleeing the 2020-2022 Tigray conflict in Ethiopia and stated they were denied basic due process protections during their trials. The cases raise concerns about Saudi Arabia's application of capital punishment to foreign nationals for non-violent offenses and adherence to fair trial standards.
AI summary · Claude Haiku
Source description (2 paragraphs)
Ethiopian migrants seeking asylum or a better life in Gulf States, walk along a highway to Saadah province to cross into Saudi Arabia, on August 23, 2023 on the outskirts of Sana'a, Yemen. © 2023 Mohammed Hamoud/Getty Images
(Beirut) – At least 65 Ethiopian migrants are at imminent risk of execution in Saudi Arabia for drug-related offenses, Human Rights Watch said today. Saudi authorities executed three others on April 21, 2026. “Saudi Arabia’s willingness to execute foreign migrants for nonviolent offences following trials that denied them basic due process reflects a profound disregard for their rights and lives,” said Nadia Hardman, senior refugee and migrant rights researcher at Human Rights Watch. “Saudi Arabia’s partners should urgently intervene before it is too late.” Human Rights Watch interviewed three informed sources about the cases of three men held in the Khamis Mushait detention facility in the Asir region of Saudi Arabia. The sources said that all three explained they were refugees, having fled the 2020-2022 armed conflict in Ethiopia’s northern Tigray region, where the humanitarian situation remains dire. The sources said that the three men used the dangerous migration route across the Gulf of Aden, through Yemen, and into Saudi Arabia to seek
hrwspecialistRead ↗
Classifier runs (3 passes)
Run 1 · temp 0
Detention conditions change
Rule of LawSevere − · -6
The event describes imminent executions of Ethiopian migrants following trials that denied basic due process, pointing to severe detention and judicial conditions rather than a single named institutional category, though mass_detention or systematic_crackdown could also apply given the scale and pattern of abuse against a migrant/refugee population.
Run 2 · temp 0.4
Detention conditions change
Rule of LawSevere − · -6
The event describes imminent executions of Ethiopian migrants following trials that denied basic due process, pointing to severe detention and judicial conditions rather than a named institutional rollback, mass political detention, or systematic crackdown on a specific group.
Run 3 · temp 0.8
Detention conditions change
Rule of LawSevere − · -6
The event describes imminent executions of Ethiopian migrants following trials lacking due process, with migrants held in detention facilities under conditions that deny basic rights — while this could also fit systematic_crackdown or mass_detention, the focus on detention facility conditions, denial of due process during proceedings, and imminent execution of detainees most closely maps to detention_conditions at severe level.
YemenApr 28, 2026Yemen: One year on, impunity for detention centre strike exposes US failures on accountability and civilian harm preventionRule of LawSevere − · -53/3 agree
On April 28, 2025, a US air strike struck a Houthi-run migrant detention centre in Sa'ada, northwestern Yemen, killing and injuring dozens of African migrants. One year later, no investigation or accountability measures have been implemented, and survivors continue to experience physical and psychological trauma. Amnesty International has called for the strike to be investigated as a potential war crime and has documented the absence of progress toward justice or reparations for affected civilians.
AI summary · Claude Haiku
Source description (1 paragraph)
(One year on from the deadly US air strike on a Huthi-run migrant detention centre in Sa’ada, north-western Yemen, there has been no discernible progress towards justice and reparation, and survivors are still struggling with severe physical and psychological trauma, Amnesty International said today. The organization had called for the 28 April 2025 strike by US forces, which killed and injured dozens of African migrants to be investigated as a war crime, and this month spoke once again to six […] The post Yemen: One year on, impunity for detention centre strike exposes US failures on accountability and civilian harm prevention appeared first on Amnesty International.)
amnestyspecialistRead ↗
Classifier runs (3 passes)
Run 1 · temp 0
Detention conditions change
Rule of LawSevere − · -5
The event centers on a deadly airstrike on a migrant detention centre, impunity for civilian harm, and ongoing trauma of survivors — most closely fitting detention conditions in a severe negative context, though the armed conflict and accountability failure dimensions make this a difficult classification.
Run 2 · temp 0.4
Detention conditions change
Rule of LawSevere − · -5
The event centers on a deadly airstrike on a migrant detention centre, ongoing impunity, and survivors' trauma — most closely fitting detention conditions (conditions and treatment of detainees, including lethal harm) in the severe_neg tier given the scale of casualties and lack of accountability, though armed_conflict or protest_crackdown could also apply given the military strike context.
Run 3 · temp 0.8
Detention conditions change
Rule of LawSevere − · -5
The event centers on a deadly airstrike on a detention centre holding migrants with no accountability or reparations one year on, touching on both armed conflict/civilian harm and detention conditions; detention_conditions is selected as the most specific fit given the focus on the facility and survivors' ongoing trauma, though armed_conflict is also plausible.