Every governance event classified by the Civica Pulse Beta pipeline. Updated daily.
The Civica Pulse Beta is a real-time governance shock monitor under active validation. Events queued for human review (severe and catastrophic severity tiers, plus events where the classifier didn't reach consensus) do not drive published Pulse scores until a reviewer confirms them. See the Pulse methodology for the full pipeline.
(merkur.de)
- Donald Trump sagt , die united states werden Kuba „ fast sofort übernehmen (tz.de)
- Donald Trump sagt , die united states werden Kuba „ fast sofort übernehmen (hna.de)
- Donald Trump sagt , die united states werden Kuba „ fast sofort übernehmen (wa.de)
- Donald Trump sagt , die united states werden Kuba „ fast sofort übernehmen (fnp.de)
- Donald Trump sagt , die united states werden Kuba „ fast sofort übernehmen (soester-anzeiger.de)
Trump's statement that the US will 'take over' Cuba constitutes a territorial claim/dispute event, though it remains rhetorical at this stage without concrete military or diplomatic action.
Run 2 · temp 0.4
Secession or territorial dispute event
StabilityModerate − · -3
Trump's statement that the US will 'take over' Cuba constitutes a territorial claim/dispute event, though it remains rhetorical rather than an actual military or political action at this stage.
Run 3 · temp 0.8
Secession or territorial dispute event
StabilityModerate − · -3
Trump's statement that the US will 'take over' Cuba nearly immediately constitutes a territorial claim/dispute event, though it remains rhetorical at this stage with no confirmed military or diplomatic action.
PeruMay 2, 2026Delia Espinoza sobre marchas violentas en el JNE : No existe golpe de estado democrático , va en contra de la legalidad electoral StabilityModerate − · -32/3 agree
Violent marches targeting Peru's National Elections Jury (JNE) constitute electoral violence around an electoral institution, with a senior official explicitly warning against actions undermining electoral legality.
Run 2 · temp 0.4
Electoral violence (sub-armed-conflict threshold)
StabilityModerate − · -3
Violent marches targeting Peru's National Elections Jury (JNE) constitute electoral violence around an electoral institution, with a senior official publicly rejecting claims of a 'democratic coup' and affirming electoral legality.
AlbaniaMay 2, 2026Paralajmërohet rrezik për humbjen e fondeve nga BE : Mungesa e institucioneve bllokon reformatStabilityModerate − · -32/3 agree
The headline warns of risk of losing EU funds due to absence/blockage of institutions preventing reforms, suggesting an institutional deadlock that could qualify as a constitutional crisis, though the evidence is thin and the story may be routine political commentary.
Run 3 · temp 0.8
Constitutional crisis without coup
StabilityModerate − · -3
The headline warns of risk of losing EU funds due to lack of functioning institutions blocking reforms, suggesting an institutional deadlock that approximates a constitutional crisis, though the single low-detail Albanian-language source limits confidence.
RomaniaApr 30, 2026Analiză Politico : Cum să înțelegi haosul politic din România ca un expert . „ Riscă să zguduie echilibrul UE pe flancul estic StabilityModerate − · -33/3 agree
The Politico analysis describing Romania's 'political chaos' as risking destabilization of the EU's eastern flank suggests an ongoing constitutional or political crisis, though the brief snippet lacks specific details to confirm a more precise category.
Run 2 · temp 0.4
Constitutional crisis without coup
StabilityModerate − · -3
The Politico analysis describing Romania's political situation as 'chaos' risking EU eastern flank stability suggests an ongoing constitutional or political crisis, though the limited body text prevents precise categorization.
Run 3 · temp 0.8
Constitutional crisis without coup
StabilityModerate − · -3
The Politico analysis describing Romania's 'political chaos' as risking EU eastern flank stability suggests an ongoing constitutional or political crisis, though the headline alone provides limited specifics to confirm the exact nature of the instability.
United StatesApr 30, 2026A Constitutional Moment in Hungary ? - Dissent MagazineStabilityModerate − · -32/3 agree
The headline references a 'constitutional moment' in Hungary, suggesting a significant constitutional development, but the extremely sparse body text provides insufficient detail to classify with confidence beyond a general constitutional crisis framing.
Run 3 · temp 0.8
Constitutional crisis without coup
StabilityModerate − · -3
The headline suggests a significant constitutional moment in Hungary, which could indicate a constitutional crisis or major institutional confrontation, but the sparse source content from an opinion magazine provides insufficient detail to classify with confidence.
BrazilApr 30, 2026A aliança pela impunidade : bolsonaristas atacam a democracia ao proteger golpistasStabilityModerate − · -33/3 agree
The headline alleges Bolsonaristas are forming an 'alliance for impunity' to protect coup plotters, suggesting an ongoing institutional standoff over accountability for the alleged 2022 coup attempt, which fits a constitutional crisis framing, though the source is a partisan outlet and specifics are thin.
Run 2 · temp 0.4
Constitutional crisis without coup
StabilityModerate − · -3
The headline alleges Bolsonaristas are forming an 'impunity alliance' to protect coup plotters, suggesting an ongoing institutional standoff over accountability for the January 8 events, which fits a constitutional crisis framing, though the source is a partisan outlet and specifics are thin.
Run 3 · temp 0.8
Constitutional crisis without coup
StabilityModerate − · -3
The headline alleges Bolsonaristas are forming an 'alliance for impunity' to protect coup plotters, suggesting an ongoing institutional crisis around accountability for the 2022/2023 coup attempt, but the source is a single partisan outlet with limited corroborating detail.